Bird Flu Out of Control in Asia

Posted by Unknown Minggu, 06 Maret 2005 0 komentar
Health experts say it is so widespread that their only option now is to try to control it--that is, manage new cases so as to keep death rates as low as possible, and try to keep it from spreading further.



The first is an uphill battle, as the virus has a 70% mortality rate. So far, the virus has not mutated into an easily transmissable human form, which is the only thing that is holding back a pandemic.



Melanie at Just a Bump in the Beltway reminds us what to do:



Plan and prepare for this now. We think of the flu as a winter bug, but the pathology of H5N1 can easily break the season model. The Spanish flu of 1918 did its deadly work in the summer and fall of that year.



I've told you before some of the things to do to get ready: get your own supply of Tamifu, obtain nanomasks, protect your business with additional insurance, and prepare for a time of possible civil disruption (what would happen in your locality if half of the public servents, cops to public health nurses were among the sick or dying? if the banks couldn't open?) at the level of being hit by a hurricane. I'm stockpiling food, water and cash--greenbacks, that is: what if the credit card verification systems can't work because there is no one to service the data lines? No, not in my house, so don't come looking for me, crooks. I've got a propane stove and camp lanterns (I'm a camper) which will all be recharged and ready in case we have power outages because there is no one to service the grid and the lines themselves. I'm getting a physical and updating all of my prescriptions now, finding doctors who can work and pharmacies which are open may be a problem later. I wouldn't want to find out I've got heart disease or other serious chronic problem under the circumstances, I want to know about it now.



Will my face be red if this all doesn't happen? No. I'll be well prepared for the next east coast hurricane, however.



Remember that the Spanish flu of 1918 had a lethality rate of 2-5% and 50 to 100 million died when the population of the planet was only 1.8 billion and air transportation was not commercially available. If this bug breaks out into human to human transmission, and the genetic odds favor it, this will be a major event in the history of civilization.
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Judul: Bird Flu Out of Control in Asia
Ditulis oleh Unknown
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